Check your cash
The notice lists a CPO bid bond of 50% of area × starting price. It also lists a minimum upfront payment and a financial-capacity requirement. These are different figures; confirm how they apply with the bureau.
ADDIS ABABA · LAND LEASE AUCTION
Find the plot that
fits your ambition.
Explore the ninth-round lease auction, compare the numbers, and find your way to the plots that matter to you.
THE ROUND 09 BRIEF↗
127 plots
Across 8 sub-cities of Addis Ababa
STARTING FROM—ETB / m²SMALLEST PLOT—m²
SOURCE: ADDIS ABABA LAND BUREAU
Snapshot, not a live auction feed. Data captured from the official notice on 8 November 2026. Verify the current status, terms and boundaries with the bureau before bidding.
View source ↗01 / THE OPPORTUNITY
Explore the land
Start with your priorities. Compare the official figures, then visit the plot.
● OFFICIAL PLOT LOCATIONS Click a marker to inspect
Markers use the destinations provided by the official notice. For plot boundaries, open the official polygon map ↗
HISTORICAL PRICE MODEL
See model limitations ↓What have similar plots attracted?
Compare the official starting price with a model of past first-ranked bids. These are not confirmed prices or win probabilities. Plots with small samples or sizes outside historical comparisons are flagged low confidence.
Compare advance payment: 40%
Explore visual payment scenarios ↗Estimates compare different historical plots and are low confidence, not a predicted winning bid. Where the payment comparison is insufficient, the unadjusted historical estimate is shown and flagged. The percentage difference compares two different estimation methods; it is not the effect of payment.
PLOT DIRECTORY
Compare your options
No plots match these filters. Try broadening your search.
METHOD / MODEL REVIEW
Read the estimate with care.
What it uses
A recency-weighted, nearest-size model trained on published first-ranked bids from eight rounds. It uses sub-city, woreda, plot area and round. Historical grade, use and precise coordinates are not available in the reviewed records.
How it performed
On the held-out eighth round, median absolute error was ETB 9,725/m² on 122 plots, versus ETB 19,107/m² for a citywide median baseline. The model's historical 10th–90th percentile range contained 71% of those outcomes; it is not a guaranteed 80% interval.
Advance and win probability
Winning depends on both price and advance, eligibility and competing bids. The source may omit other bidders and no-award plots, and the exact current-round scoring formula has not been verified. A ranked-price percentile is not a chance of winning. The original historical estimate does not adjust for your advance. The scenario column compares historical payment groups when available, or clearly labels an unadjusted fallback.
Payment scenario validation: In an out-of-time check using rounds 1–7 to compare 46 eligible round-eight records at their actual advance, median absolute error was ETB 12,300/m² versus ETB 15,372/m² for a simple nearest-comparables median. 38 of 46 offered 100%, leaving only eight below 100%; these results do not validate causal effects or winning probability. This is not a comparison with the recency-weighted forecast above.
Selection criteria: The 2024 city lease regulation describes 60% weight for offered price and 40% for advance payment. Confirm the detailed scoring formula for this round; the percentages are scoring weights, not a bid price or a win probability. Round-eight advance context: among 122 captured plot-round records, 107 first-ranked offers proposed 100% upfront; in 26 records a first-ranked bid had a lower price per m² than another listed bid. These are descriptive counts, not win probabilities. Official example of ranked results ↗
Snapshot 8 November 2026 · 1,173 plot-round records captured; 1,171 usable after data checks. Source: 2merkato historical results ↗ · Lease regulation ↗. Prices are not valuations. Historical outcomes may not represent the next round.
02 / BEFORE YOU BID
Make a considered move.
The right plot depends on more than the lowest starting price.
Visit the site
Use the official map and directions to inspect access, utilities, slope and surrounding development. A map marker is not a legal boundary.
Read the terms
The notice says a bidder may bid on only one plot in this round. Review the official instructions, eligibility, dates and required documents before proceeding.